Kamala suspended her 2020 Presidential campaign before 15 other candidates did, which you can infer means that 15 other candidates had more support, or at least the same support she had, which is little to none. Most people who met & talked with her & listened to her speeches didn’t like her for one reason or another. She’s not likable, and that’s a major consideration for President that you can only overcome if your opponent is even less likeable than you, and Trump fits that mold well. There are obviously way less Trump supporters now than he had in 2020 & way way less than 2016. The more you get of Trump, the less you want.
How could that change inside of 4 years? Just because she’s the VP shouldn’t mean she’s the one Dems should put forth as the next Presidential candidate. Biden was VP for 8 years and the Dems went with Hillary, who would’ve done a better job than Biden in my opinion. For one thing, she had a former 2-term President as a non-paid advisor in her bedroom, when he’s not in someone else’s bedroom at least.
It surely can’t be because Biden endorsed her. This is the same doddering & confused old man that the Dems didn’t want as President just last week, so why would anything he says be elevated to that level of importance, like helping to decide who the next Democratic Presidential candidate will be?
The Dems tried running a women in 2016 & it failed, and against the same man they’re facing now. Hillary had a lot more Dem & independent support, so why do they think it will work now? Obama was half-black, so you figure that being half-black not only isn’t a liability, it’s a plus as it gets you all the black vote and gets blacks turning out to vote who normally wouldn’t even show up. But Obama wasn’t a woman either. Until a woman is elected President, we’re going to have this conversation, as a woman has never won the Presidency, although Kamala was on the 1st ticket to win that had a woman President or VP candidate on it (remember Geraldine Ferraro from 1984?)
I also don’t think it will soon matter who the Dem candidate is, as Dems will start winning the battleground states for good as more minorities are born & turn out to vote along with students, at least as long as the states keep it easy to vote by having weeks to vote & accepting/encouraging absentee ballots & no ID.
It appears that the battleground states of Georgia & Arizona may soon always be Dem states from here on out, but the coup de grace is that Texas may flip within the next election or two. In 2020, Trump won Texas with only 52% of the vote. If the Dems can flip that state, it’s all over but the crying for the GOP. Alaska was also only 52% for Trump, but of little relevance. NC was won by Trump with a slim 1.3% margin and less than 50% of the vote and that could flip Dem in 2024. Florida is still a slender GOP state that once was Dem & could flip back as Trump won with only 51% there. Both of those states would give as insurmountable a Dem lead as winning Texas would.
On the flip side, Minnesota, Virginia, New Hampshire & Maine have always been strong Dem states, but the Dems only won 52% to 53% in those states that year and could be future battleground states. Arizona & Georgia were surprisingly battleground states who typically voted GOP & went Dem instead, and former DEM strongholds like NV, PA & WI are now battleground states that could go either way or flip permanently GOP as Ohio seemingly has. VA is rumored to be in play for the GOP in 2024, but I don’t believe it any more than Iowa possibly being in play for Dems.